Market Insights

Are Banks Still Growing Their Commercial Real Estate Loan Books in Late 2026?

Yes, slowly. Per the Fed's H.8 release of October 30, 2026, bank CRE loans were $3,151.0 billion in the week ending October 21, and the September average was 3.7% above a year earlier, led by multifamily and nonfarm nonresidential loans while construction stayed flat.

By Rommin Adl · · 9 min read

Modern glass skyscraper against blue sky

Key takeaway: Yes, slowly. Per the Fed's H.8 release of October 30, 2026, banks held $3,151.0 billion of CRE loans in the week ending October 21, and September balances were 3.7% above a year earlier. Multifamily and nonfarm nonresidential loans drove the growth while construction stayed flat, so banks favor stabilized deals.

The quick read: Yes, slowly. According to the Federal Reserve's H.8 release dated October 30, 2026, commercial banks held $3,151.0 billion of commercial real estate loans in the week ending October 21, 2026, and the September 2026 average of $3,140.2 billion was 3.7% above September 2025. Multifamily and nonfarm nonresidential loans did the growing while construction loans stayed flat. A bank still fits a stabilized property that sits inside its lending policy; a transitional or construction deal should also be priced against agency, debt-fund and bridge lenders before you commit to one bank's answer.

Are banks still adding CRE loans?

Banks are still adding commercial real estate loans in late 2026, at a steady mid-single-digit pace rather than a boom. Per the Federal Reserve's H.8, the September 2026 average of $3,140.2 billion was $110.7 billion, or 3.7%, above September 2025, and third-quarter balances grew at a 3.6% annual rate.

That is faster than last year. The same release puts full-year 2025 growth at 1.6%, and the monthly annual rates for August and September 2026 were 5.4% and 5.2%. Our arithmetic for the year-over-year figure is simple: 3,140.2 divided by 3,029.5, minus one, is 3.7%.

The latest week was softer. Balances fell $7.3 billion, from $3,158.3 billion in the week ending October 14 to $3,151.0 billion in the week ending October 21. One week is one week: weekly levels are Wednesday snapshots, and a single large payoff or sale can move them. FRED's copy of the series (CREACBW027SBOG) shows the same 3,151.0 level for October 21, 2026, and lists the next release for November 6, 2026.

All banks, CRE loans, week ending October 21, 2026 (H.8, seasonally adjusted): $3,151.0 billion
All banks, CRE loans, week ending October 14, 2026 (H.8): $3,158.3 billion
September 2026 average (H.8): $3,140.2 billion
September 2025 average (H.8): $3,029.5 billion
Third quarter 2026 growth (H.8, annual rate): 3.6%
Full-year 2025 growth (H.8): 1.6%

For how rates feed into that pace, see whether higher interest rates are slowing CRE lending in 2026.

Small or large banks: who is growing?

Small banks, meaning every domestically chartered commercial bank outside the 25 largest, hold about two-thirds of bank CRE loans and grew them slightly faster over the year. Per the H.8, small banks were up 3.7% from September 2025 to September 2026, against 3.4% at the top 25 banks.

In the week ending October 21, 2026, small domestically chartered banks held $2,114.3 billion of the $3,151.0 billion total, or 67% by our arithmetic. The top 25 held $911.5 billion, about 29%, and foreign-related institutions held the remaining $125.2 billion. The H.8 defines the large group as the top 25 domestically chartered banks ranked by domestic assets, and the small group as every other domestically chartered commercial bank.

The weekly dip sat almost entirely at the large banks. The top 25 fell $6.9 billion, from $918.4 billion to $911.5 billion, while small banks slipped $0.9 billion, from $2,115.2 billion to $2,114.3 billion. The release does not explain individual weekly moves, so treat that as a data point to watch on November 6, not a turn in policy.

Small banks, CRE loans, week ending October 21, 2026 (H.8): $2,114.3 billion
Top 25 banks, CRE loans, week ending October 21, 2026 (H.8): $911.5 billion
Small-bank share of bank CRE loans (our arithmetic): 67%

What the balance sheet cannot tell you is which bank will say yes to your file. The H.8 carries no approval rates, pricing or loan-size limits by bank size, so the numbers show where the money sits, not which credit committee has room this quarter.

Which CRE loans are banks adding?

Banks are adding loans secured by existing, income-producing multifamily and nonfarm nonresidential property in late 2026, while their construction and land development books have stayed roughly flat. Per the H.8, from September 2025 to September 2026 multifamily loans rose 4.5% to $641.8 billion and nonfarm nonresidential loans 4.3% to $1,917.0 billion, while construction slipped 0.3% to $457.8 billion.

Table: Bank CRE loans by group and type, H.8 release of October 30, 2026 (seasonally adjusted, $ billions)

Group or type Week ending Oct 21, 2026 Sept 2026 average Sept 2025 average Change vs Sept 2025
Group or type All commercial banks Week ending Oct 21, 2026 3,151.0 Sept 2026 average 3,140.2 Sept 2025 average 3,029.5 Change vs Sept 2025 +3.7%
Group or type Top 25 domestic banks Week ending Oct 21, 2026 911.5 Sept 2026 average 909.6 Sept 2025 average 879.4 Change vs Sept 2025 +3.4%
Group or type Small domestic banks Week ending Oct 21, 2026 2,114.3 Sept 2026 average 2,107.7 Sept 2025 average 2,032.8 Change vs Sept 2025 +3.7%
Group or type Construction and land development Week ending Oct 21, 2026 459.1 Sept 2026 average 457.8 Sept 2025 average 459.3 Change vs Sept 2025 -0.3%
Group or type Multifamily (5 or more units) Week ending Oct 21, 2026 643.5 Sept 2026 average 641.8 Sept 2025 average 614.0 Change vs Sept 2025 +4.5%
Group or type Nonfarm nonresidential Week ending Oct 21, 2026 1,924.6 Sept 2026 average 1,917.0 Sept 2025 average 1,838.4 Change vs Sept 2025 +4.3%

The change column is our arithmetic from the September averages. Multifamily and nonfarm nonresidential loans together added $106.4 billion of the $110.7 billion all-bank increase, so nearly all of the growth is loans on finished, income-producing property. The H.8 counts multifamily as loans secured by properties with five or more units, including apartment buildings, and nonfarm nonresidential as both owner-occupied and other nonfarm nonresidential properties, so that line mixes a business's own building with investor-owned property.

A flat construction book does not mean banks stopped making construction loans. It means new construction balances roughly offset the loans that paid off or converted to permanent debt. For an investor, the practical read is that banks are competing hardest for the stabilized deal and are holding construction exposure about where it was a year ago.

Multifamily, September 2026 average (H.8): $641.8 billion, up from $614.0 billion
Nonfarm nonresidential, September 2026 average (H.8): $1,917.0 billion, up from $1,838.4 billion
Construction and land development, September 2026 average (H.8): $457.8 billion, from $459.3 billion

What the H.8 numbers do not tell you

The H.8 is an estimated weekly balance sheet of the loans banks hold, so it shows outstanding balances rather than new originations, approvals, pricing or lending standards. A rising balance can come from slower payoffs and loan extensions as easily as from new lending, so growth is a signal of appetite, not proof of it.

According to the Federal Reserve's description of the release, the estimates come mainly from a voluntary weekly panel of 850 domestically chartered banks and foreign-related institutions that represents around 90 percent of commercial bank assets, benchmarked to quarterly Call Reports. Weekly levels are close-of-business Wednesday values, and monthly levels are pro rata averages of the weekly data. The universe excludes thrifts and credit unions, which also make CRE loans.

Three rules for reading it:

  • Compare monthly averages or quarters, not single weeks; never annualize one week's change.
  • Use the seasonally adjusted tables for trend and quote the week-ending date with every weekly level.
  • Treat origination volume and lending standards as separate questions answered by separate surveys, not by this release.

When should you skip the bank?

Skip the bank, or at least do not stop at it, when the property is not yet stabilized, when you need construction or heavy renovation money, or when the bank's own CRE concentration leaves no room. The H.8 growth is in multifamily and nonfarm nonresidential loans, not construction, so transitional deals belong in front of other lender types too.

Concentration is the quiet reason a growing market still produces a no. The Federal Reserve's SR 07-1 letter on the interagency CRE concentration guidance says the guidance does not set one concentration limit for all institutions, and that institutions with recent, significant growth in CRE lending may receive closer supervisory review regardless of their concentration level. A bank that has grown its CRE book quickly can slow down even while the aggregate keeps rising.

A workable split by deal type:

  • Stabilized multifamily with in-place cash flow: a bank, priced side by side with agency lenders.
  • Stabilized office, retail, industrial or other nonfarm nonresidential property: a bank, life company or CMBS lender, depending on size and term.
  • Value-add or lease-up: bridge lenders and debt funds that underwrite the business plan rather than today's income.
  • Ground-up construction: a bank where its policy has room; a debt fund where it does not.

For context on where bank pricing starts, the latest rate tape:

Bank prime loan rate, October 27, 2026 (FRED, DPRIME): 7.00%
10-year Treasury yield, October 29, 2026 (FRED, DGS10): 4.98%

If your bank has already declined, read why a bank won't make your commercial real estate loan before you take the same file to the next branch.

How do you get lenders competing for this loan?

YieldStack publishes this guide, and our recommendation is to place a bank-eligible CRE loan through a commercial mortgage brokerage that tests it against bank, agency, debt-fund and bridge programs at once. That way one bank's concentration, policy box or appetite this quarter never sets your terms by default.

Option 1, the brokerage route (our recommendation). YieldStack is an AI-native commercial mortgage brokerage that arranges financing for commercial real estate investors. Software matches the deal against 20,000+ loan programs and typically returns 5–8 matches; human brokers structure the deal, negotiate on the borrower's side and carry it toward closing. A deal goes in with a 5-minute submit, and the median first offer arrives in under an hour, from an institutional lender. It costs Zero upfront to submit a deal and review offers; YieldStack's broker fee is 0.50–1.00% of the loan amount and is paid only at closing. Every credit decision is made by the lender; YieldStack arranges the introductions and negotiates on the borrower's side, and no loan, rate, or closing is guaranteed.

Three reasons it fits this market: aggregate growth does not tell you which bank has room, so you want several banks and non-bank lenders reading the same package; a stabilized deal should see bank and agency terms side by side; and someone on your side should negotiate recourse, reserves and prepayment once offers arrive.

Option 2, your own bank directly. A bank where you hold deposits can move fast on a stabilized property that fits its policy, but you see one credit committee's answer and no comparison.

Option 3, calling banks one by one. It works, but each bank wants its own package, and weeks can pass before you learn which ones have CRE room.

Before you send anything, run the deal through the lender match tool and have these ready:

  • Trailing 12-month operating statement and current rent roll
  • Purchase contract or current loan payoff and maturity date
  • Sponsor schedule of real estate owned and personal financial statement
  • Business plan and budget for any renovation or lease-up

When the package is ready, send the deal for a bank, agency and bridge comparison.

The bottom line

Yes, banks are still growing their commercial real estate loan books in late 2026, by 3.7% over the year to September per the Federal Reserve's H.8, with small banks holding about two-thirds of the total. The growth is in multifamily and nonfarm nonresidential loans on stabilized property; construction balances are flat. Bring a stabilized deal to banks and compare it with agency terms, take transitional and construction deals to bridge lenders and debt funds as well, and check the next H.8 on November 6 before reading anything into one soft week.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are banks still making commercial real estate loans right now?

Yes. Per the Federal Reserve's H.8 release of October 30, 2026, bank CRE loan balances averaged $3,140.2 billion in September 2026, 3.7% above September 2025, and grew at a 3.6% annual rate in the third quarter. The growth is concentrated in multifamily and nonfarm nonresidential loans on stabilized property.

If banks are growing CRE, why did mine say no?

Aggregate growth says nothing about your bank's room. Each bank manages its own CRE concentration, and the Fed's SR 07-1 letter says fast CRE growth can draw closer supervisory review. A bank near its limits, or a deal outside its policy, such as construction or lease-up, can still be declined while the market grows.

Do small banks or big banks hold more CRE loans?

Small banks do. In the week ending October 21, 2026, banks outside the 25 largest held $2,114.3 billion of the $3,151.0 billion bank total, about 67% by our arithmetic, per the H.8. The top 25 held $911.5 billion, and small banks grew slightly faster over the year.

Does the H.8 show new CRE loan originations?

No. The H.8 is an estimated weekly balance sheet, so it shows loans outstanding, not new originations, approvals or pricing. A balance can rise because payoffs slow or loans are extended. Compare monthly averages rather than single weeks, and never annualize one week's change.

Sources

  1. H.8 Assets and Liabilities of Commercial Banks in the United States, release date October 30, 2026. Table 2 (all commercial banks, seasonally adjusted, billions): commercial real estate loans 3,029.5 (Sep 2025), 3,140.2 (Sep 2026), 3,158.3 (week ending Oct 14), 3,151.0 (week ending Oct 21); construction and land development 459.3, 457.8, 459.1 (Oct 21); multifamily 614.0, 641.8, 643.5 (Oct 21); nonfarm nonresidential 1,838.4, 1,917.0, 1,924.6 (Oct 21). Table 1 (annual rate): CRE loans 1.6 (2025), 3.6 (2026 Q3), 5.4 (Aug 2026), 5.2 (Sep 2026). Table 6 (top 25 domestic banks): 879.4, 909.6, 918.4 (Oct 14), 911.5 (Oct 21). Table 8 (small domestic banks): 2,032.8, 2,107.7, 2,115.2 (Oct 14), 2,114.3 (Oct 21). Table 10 (foreign-related): 125.2 (Oct 21). Large banks are defined as the top 25 domestically chartered commercial banks ranked by domestic assets; small banks are all others.

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, H.8 release, October 30, 2026
  2. The H.8 release provides an estimated weekly aggregated balance sheet for all commercial banks in the United States; estimates are primarily based on the FR 2644 form reported weekly by a voluntary panel of 850 domestically chartered banks and foreign-related institutions representing around 90 percent of commercial bank assets, plus quarterly Call Reports; weekly levels are close-of-business Wednesday values and monthly levels are pro rata averages; the universe excludes thrifts and credit unions.

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, About the H.8 release
  3. Real Estate Loans: Commercial Real Estate Loans, All Commercial Banks (CREACBW027SBOG): 2026-10-21: 3,151.0372; 2026-10-14: 3,158.3391; billions of U.S. dollars, seasonally adjusted, weekly ending Wednesday; updated Oct 30, 2026; next release date Nov 6, 2026.

    FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, CREACBW027SBOG
  4. Bank Prime Loan Rate (DPRIME): 2026-10-27: 7.00 percent; updated Oct 28, 2026.

    FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, DPRIME
  5. Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity (DGS10): 2026-10-29: 4.98 percent; updated Oct 30, 2026.

    FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, DGS10
  6. SR 07-1, Interagency Guidance on Concentrations in Commercial Real Estate (January 4, 2007): the guidance does not establish a CRE concentration limit that applies to all institutions; institutions experiencing recent, significant growth in CRE lending may receive closer supervisory review than other institutions regardless of their level of CRE concentration.

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, SR 07-1, January 4, 2007

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